The Politics Thread

[JaneAusten]

its not that the poll is wrong its that the interpretation of using a national poll to  show battleground numbers is wrong.  Would you base a poll by calling 30 people in a state which is in effect what they did. If you want to assess battleground states you do a battleground state poll not extrapolate information you want from a national poll. That's not how statistics works.  That's twisting science to get the answer you want. You do a state poll calling the same number of people in that state with the audience being polled representing a cross section of the state population not a subset of a national poll.  

Edited May 15, 2020 by JaneAusten

[marceline]

 

It's an excellent statement. Biden has handled this very well. At no point has he ever attacked Reade. He's been an open book. He's never once indulged conspiracy theories or pointed out how this was an obvious attempt by the Bernie left to weaponize MeToo in order to drive him from the race. Through this whole thing he has behaved like an innocent man who trusted the facts to come out. Meanwhile...

 

 

[reallyhateskateonlost]

Of course there will be a vaccine for Corvid 19 by the end of the year.

Just in time for him (Trump) to get re elected.

[marceline]

I may sound like a conspiracy theorist but I won't trust any vaccine touted by this administration. They will claim to have found one but it won't work.

[Wendy]

No link as I just heard this on my local news, but I guess Mike Bloomberg is about to begin a media blitz with his deep pockets for Joe Biden. Glad he is keeping his word.

[Juliajms]

Please be true. I'm not a big fan of our corporate overlords, but if Satan himself offers to finance Biden's campaign, I suggest he take the money.

[JaneAusten]

Seems Bloomberg is debating how to distribute the finances versus if .

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/05/15/mike-bloomberg-plots-spending-blitz-to-back-joe-biden-campaign.html

[Vee]

 

 

[Wendy]

86,000+ dead. Job loss is staggering. And yet we have this:

 

https://philadelphia.cbslocal.com/video/4549740-cnn-poll-president-trump-leads-joe-biden-in-battleground-states/

 

I...just don't understand this. At all. Sigh. If this POS gets back in, this country deserves to crumble.

[JaneAusten]

 

This is the same discussion just had above. Follow that discussion. CNN used a national poll and pulled data out of that to determine battleground numbers, That is not how polling works. This is CNN trying to gin polling to show Trump competitive. Just a few days ago there was a poll OF WISCONSIN (Not a national poll where they pulled 30 respondents from Wisconsin out of) showing Wisconsin with Biden having a 2 point lead. Within the margin of error. A 2 point poll with Biden leading is bad enough without CNN trying to use a national poll for battleground states only. That is NOT how polling works but it keeps the media driven horserace narrative going.

Edited May 16, 2020 by JaneAusten

[DramatistDreamer]

[Juliajms]

Thank you lord. Also thank you Jane for the info and article.

[Vee]

Yes, this thread really needs to get over its addiction to reposting skewed polls and not reading discussion about them.

 

Meanwhile:

 

 

[DramatistDreamer]

I saw the speech live. It was really good.

[Taoboi]

So...if they even think they try to go after Obama...then that voids out the Trump gaslighting that predates the attempt...so people can then throw Trump in jail? So...stalemate?

Then you are not the only conspiracy theorist.