Vee

Politico massages the facts: A deeply bizarre postscript:

That doesn't mean I'm going to take it seriously. It's Gallup!

Gallup by way of Alex Thompson. I'll pass on taking that at face value.

Meanwhile:

This is how I feel. I don't think we'd be human if it wasn't somewhat nervewracking for many of us. They're close numbers materially and the stakes are (once again) higher than they've ever been. But all Republicans have done since '16 is continue to lose elections. I have yet to see evidence that is changing, and we're still up where we need to be in a lot of the polling (which, as you say, has ceased to matter). Still, I do have some anxiety any time we get this close. I'll feel better on the night once I start to have my own suspicions borne out of course, just as they were overnight in 2020 (though it took a few hours) or in 2012.

Thread:

David Plouffe on the race.

Except in 2016 those weren't the polls. We never saw it coming. I do think we'll take GA and PA, and very possibly Michigan too.

I just don't think most voters are seriously caring about the Al Smith dinner or 'supporting the Catholics' in 2024. Grinnin' Brian Stelter may have been typically charmed by Trump's bad jokes, but the public doesn't really register that stuff.

What potential does Sam have left? Serious answers only. Are they now trying to say that Holly ditched Sasha with her mother before '92 and just hung out in town for almost two years without her?

I don't either. It may be tied in the way the polling is being done which understandably makes many of us tense (me included), but I haven't been convinced it'll actually be that close on the night for quite some time. People doing these doomsday scenarios of barely ekeing out a victory with 276 EV or something are deep in their own nightmares to me. I'm tenser than I was in '20 or '22, but a lot of that has to do with the unusual circumstances of this cycle and the heightened threat post-J6. I've suspected for some time this may look something like the midterms on the night of and we may put it away much earlier than anyone in media had expected. I think most of that is natural tightening towards the end of a race, and not that surprising given Harris has only been in the race since the end of July. I also think the polling underreports or overweights a lot of groups on account of the assumption of Trump Magic, and early voting that is not going to happen the same way as in the middle of a pandemic. The rest is PTSD Dems or angry Twitter leftists bedwetting over the One Weird Trick they would do with her campaign instead. Of course I can think of things I would do differently, but I see little serious change in that campaign since two months ago and it's been an insanely rushed timetable.

It's all just so tired.

This is paywalled, so I'll just note the key new factoid is that some source has told them Trump keeps backing out because of 'exhaustion.' Trump PR then of course pushed back on this. Trump also backed out of the Shade Room. Harris is apparently going on the trail with both Obamas next week.

Poor Emma Samms is out there selling this plot twist. I really hope she's fibbing or misinformed about the details.

Oh lord. Nobody in the electorate gives a shít about the Al Smith dinner. Who on Earth is claiming Harris is 'the new Walter Mondale?" Give me a break.

Or appropriate the Quartermaine empire. I'll allow it! Lord, did they really have to bring OLTL into it again? Sasha claims Holly left her in Llanview with David Vickers years ago because "Ethan was in trouble". Was Martin claiming Blair slept with David not bad enough?

Baier does an unexpected bit of damage control. I'm surprised they bothered with this with that audience, but it must also be for media who have been very critical of Baier (and complimentary of Harris):

Why this has been a going concern across several writing teams is baffling to me. It's not like they're some controversial frontburner pairing. At least with PM it seemed clear he had intended to dispense with Sasha originally.

It depends on exactly when she auditioned. If we're talking about super close to Y&R it could've been either the Tina recast in summer '94 or (this is my personal suspicion) Angela Holliday in summer '93. I'm sure there's other time intervals or even potential characters from that era but those are the first that come to mind. I suppose she could've also been up for the now infamous Blair racewashing recast (late '93).

Me too. Edward and co. were just too accepting of it. Honestly right now I'm 50/50 that Holly is straight up lying to Sasha for her own reasons. Maybe she doesn't want Cody with her daughter for another purpose, because who exactly would they be pairing either of them with unless this is short term angst? This would also allow them to once again cement the odious pairing of Robert and Diane by painting Holly as the forever deceiver. There is also the fact that (forgive me if this has been mentioned) Sasha swapped in her own hair sample to mask Cody's DNA connection to Mac maybe a year ago. Yet Sasha's showed no Scorpio DNA.