Skin

This is why I am not overreacting too much with the 2020 election. Trump drives turnout but they won’t have him moving forward, if Democrats can keep the enthusiasm they had for the midterms like 2018 - 22 won’t be such a blood bath. I’m only concerned if the resistance narrative ends up losing ground and Democrats go to sleep again the way they did when Obama was in office. Trump is a last gasp of a dying electorate, but only if the rest of the electorate wakes up and becomes a continued part of our electoral processes moving forward. The New Yorker, had an article run recently, that spoke to the fact that Trump winning the Latinos in Texas and Florida, wasn’t a big surprise she by you take into the “incumbent” effect of most candidates who occupy the Oval Office. Democrats should definitely have messaging in those places and also recognize the different pathways to immigration the Latino population has.

They need to do that in Texas, North Carolina, and Florida going forward. I feel the “blue wall” in the mid-west is a mirage. Democrats might keep it for a few more election cycles max, but the writing is on the wall - look at Ohio. Democrats success is in the Sunbelt and the coasts moving forward.

The House of Representative is something Democrats need to keep an eye on. Right now they need to prioritize the Georgia senate seats otherwise a lot of Joe’s executive agenda is dead on arrival. Especially with McConnel as the leader. But in the House, Republicans are projected to win 214 seats this Congress, while the Democrats are projected to win 221. That’s crazy close and Republicans just won the rights to gerrymander 40% of districts moving forward. On average Democrats have to over win districts by 6-7 points in order to overcome Republican gerrymandered seats in the house. Expect them to make it even harder for Democrats to win seats moving forward. More over the “party in power” tends to lose a massive amount of seats in the midterm years, Obama lost a record 60 from 2008 to 2010. It will be even worse with Trump screwing up the Census work as well, likely misallocating population totals from a lot of blue leaning cities. They will probably try to rewrite districts to make sure Democrats lose seats (i.e. drawing two Democrat districts into one so they lose seats in red states, and then redraw lines to make more Republican leaning districts), and the census has already started pulling down electoral college votes from some swing states (Pennsylvania is likely to lose electoral college votes in 2024). So many uphill battles it seems. Democrats need really strong defense on all these fronts. Joe did his part in delivering the electoral college of 5 flipped states, now the Democrats need to deliver the Senate, and be on their best behavior for 2022, right around the corner.

Agree with Beto, GOP didn't care about COVID-19 and they reaped the benefits from it.

I wouldn't say he could even get votes tossed out, as he can't point to any single instance of voter fraud. He would have to supply that evidence first. I think someone earlier hit the nail on the head though in that they are trying to establish a foothold to weaken the states rights/laws concerning elections. That was straight out of the Kavanaugh playbook and that's what conservatives are trying to do moving forward. Make it so states themselves can't hold elections and rules are administered by the federal government, making it easier for them to disenfranchise certain voters who Republicans can't win with. This also establishes a precedent where incumbent Presidents can refuse to concede elections. Democrats won't use this, but Republican presidents very well may.

Good for the Decision Desk to make a decision. PA's done. The networks are just scared because of Trump so they are being overly cautious. GA is still a toss up -- but Biden may have it if there are no big surprises: Provisionals (lean Democrat), Overseas Military (lean Republican), Oversees Expats (Lean Democrat) and fixed rejected ballots that people have until today to correct (lean Democrat). It's close but I think it tends to Biden. NV should have been called already. AZ is a mix but Biden may still make it happen there too.

The New York Times is reporting that Trump filed another lawsuit to get Philadelphia to stop counting votes because his observers were denied access to watch them count. He has a hearing scheduled at 5:30, why is he getting these quick hearings? I largely don't care for him either, but he has a talent for breaking through to them that other Dems could learn from. When he opens his mouth, conservatives don't hear sirens or a Charlie Brown sound, and it doesn't make them want to recoil and vote red. Democrats have a real voting problem if they can't turn out the Latinx vote going forward, those are keys to flipping Texas, Florida, Arizona and keeping Nevada and New Mexico. Democrats will eventually lose Minnesota, Michigan and Wisconsin due to socio-economic and cultural factors - the writing is on the wall. They need to prepare and invest in the future.

I think Democrats need to invest in some media interviewing techniques like Pete, he is like the conservative whisperer, and they seem to "get it", when he speaks to them.

Different times. McConnel can block pretty much anything if he has the Senate, even if Joe has Congress.

I really think this is a problem due to the infrastructure of the US. It's hard to say that a President has a mandate, if they just squeaked by and won the election. I would feel more comfortable with a Biden mandate if we won the Senate, or received at least 300+ electoral collage votes. We need those in order to truly action a "mandate". That's easier for Republicans to do than Democrats.

I wonder if we will see other retired Republicans like Paul Ryan returning to politics now that Trump looks to be losing the election and is out of office?

Completely agree. Which honestly is why I am a bit scared for Kamala replacing him. America has shown it's true colors and a map for her in 2024 is scary to me. These voters lost their mind under Obama, and I still think they've been broken by the idea that a Black President was as good as he was. They never healed which is why they sent Trump in.

I wouldn't laugh, Trumpism is far from over in this country. The fact that this election is this close says volumes considering Trump basically killed 200,000 people, destroyed the economy, increased unemployment and wiped out gains for decades. People will vote for him, because he will cut taxes, fill courts with right-wing judges, and hurt Liberals. It's crazy to think that had he not mishandled COVID-19 he would have been re-elected.

A lot of people are saying Nevada is "callable", and should be called now - the problem is the previous call with Arizona which still seems a bit close. With the AP and Fox already calling Arizona for Biden, it creates the narrative that Biden already won, when it looks like the vote for Arizona is still out. It's a bit of a mess. If they call Nevada for Biden, that most likely means he won Arizona as well. Wouldn't surprise me if most news outlets wait until Arizona is finished counting before releasing the wins of both states.

It sounds like you think this is going to be a really close race?

FiveThirtyEight shared their interactive election forecast generator here. It's helpful to understand what that fault lines are for a Trump win: he needs Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Ohio and Texas to win - if he loses any of those states he has a less than 1% chance of winning the election.

Insane they got three Supreme Court seats with this President.

Agree with all of the sentiments shared in the past three posts. They aren't really surprised (or at least they shouldn't be), they are just feigning shock so they don't rile up his supporters. They want to be seen as impartial in their responses, so they can be seen as "moderate" or "middle of the road". They are in essence enabling his narrative and in effect normalizing his awfulness.

I always felt these debates were a bad idea. It's impossible to debate Trump, it's like playing chess with a pigeon, in the end it's going to knock all the pieces off the board, defecate all over the board and claim it won in the end. The public also is not moved by debates or civilized conversation anymore. Trump has consistently been supported by 40-45% of the electorate for the past 4 years. Nothing is going to change that, least of all debates. If anything the debates and the Supreme Court nominee have only increased his support. He was previously in the low 41's and now he is trending up again to 43-44%.

I've always felt that Christina was always trend following her contemporaries, so I am not surprised that she is overlooked. She always got there with a sound that wasn't especially her own or was often too late in capitalizing her material to fully embody, actualize and trademark the sound as hers. In her debut she copied Britney, in her sophomore effort she copied P!nk's Misunderstood and Alicia Key's Songs In a Minor, for her third album she copied Amy Winehouse, and with her fourth album she was creating material very reminiscent of Gaga. The rest of her material has been pretty generic, and not of particular note as the public forgot about her outside of her features which played to other artists strengths. She's an artist who has always in some shape or form been musically bereft, and inconsistent.

It's significant in context of the times I think. I don't necessarily find Christina Aguilera to be especially impressive in any chart capacity, but the chart climate they are speaking about is a bit nuanced. Christina (or more accurately her label) deserve kudos for exploiting it for those feats and achievements. Christina getting back to back number one's with Genie, Come On Over and What A Girl Wants is somewhat similar to Ariana Grande getting her strings of number ones in this climate. What the original tweet fails to understand are the chart methods that Christina used to employ to achieve her results was a very different strategy than Jive's Britney, Backstreet Boys and N'sync used, as BetterForgotten notes above. Jive's strategy was to limit the singles success so more people would buy the album. If they couldn't buy the single, pre Napster they had to buy the full album to access/own/listen to the material outside of radio. As such people shouldn't be looking at Billboard's Hot 100 to measure the success of those particular artists. They should be looking at their album sales, Billboard 200 chart and comparing those sales to Christina's to see how successful they were in their commercial efforts. Christina's strategy was to flood the single market to get more #1's similar to Mariah Carey, Whitney Houston, Destiny's Child and Micheal Jackson. Basically this. Britney's singles never got physically released unless they were radio/airplay flops and Jive wanted to save face with a high Hot 100 peak. Jive knew that Britney could always get a sales hit so they timed releases to get her to chart higher if it benefited them. Britney only released 3 singles physically: Baby One More Time (her debut single), From The Bottom Of My Broken Heart (airplay was low) and Stronger (Airplay was low). After 2000 sales declined so significantly there was no reason to even release singles as the Hot 100 was basically just an Airplay chart until digital downloads were measured in 2005.

He was never really apart of the Murphy band-wagon. He had his own series of Children's books, and other projects and seems to be focusing there. To be honest he kind of seemed bothered by the typical Hollywood game that Darren Criss , seemed all to hungry to play so I'm not surprised he has kept a lower profile post-Glee. This show to me seems cursed for all of the attention it received. Nothing good has come of it for many of the stars. It's like the anti-Mickey Mouse Club.

It would not surprise me if that does happen in season 3 and is apart of Alex's arc. Trevor St. John seems to be a CW favorite he was on Vampire Dairies, Containment and now Roswell. I wouldn't be surprised to see him pop up somewhere else soon.

I'm happy for him, he knows how to stay employed. He's been on The WB/CW/CBS for 20+ years now. Few people know and understand their audience like him. It will pay dividends for him and his future.

Well. That happened. This show is really a pale version of what it once was.