The Politics Thread

[sivad40]

 

They decided to let Tim go off again. I hope it isn't too late. 

 

 

[Vee]

He's been doing that on the stump for weeks, it's not new.

 

[Vee]

 

Meanwhile:

 

 

[wonderwoman1951]

putting his money where we always hoped his mouth was…

free link

bill gates contributes $50 million to harris

[Wendy]

As if one needed another reason to vote for Harris/Walz, guess who Dump has on the short list for potential Attorney General?

https://abcnews.go.com/US/judge-tossed-trumps-classified-docs-case-list-proposed/story?id=114997807

[Vee]

 

[DRW50]

I see that Adam Carlson account thinks Trump will win Nevada based on the vote so far. I haven't paid much attention to the Jacky Rosen Senate campaign to see if she is running the Trump-friendly ads Bob Casey and Tammy Baldwin are that make some think Trump is winning or close to winning Pennsylvania or Wisconsin.

The 18-29 vote for Harris in that poll doesn't seem like enough, especially if the amount of Hispanic and black male voters for Trump is any indication. I know all the reasons given, but it's sad to think how many people will overlook his bigotry because they think it won't happen to them. A Faux News/Suffolk poll has him up 11% with Hispanic voters. Another firm has him up with Arab-American voters. I could say these all aren't true, but it has been so many polls with underperforming results, and I am not sure how much is a permanent shift away from Democrats or just misogyny toward Kamala Harris. 

Even after the disgusting report from The Atlantic, you had the sister of the soldier Trump spewed bile over defending him and saying she voted for him. How can you support him over your sister's memory? Is the money or fame worth it? 

Mark Meadows is the sycophant who came out to deny the report, which is how you know its true. 

Meanwhile, the LA Times is refusing to endorse a Presidential candidate, due to pressure from the owner.

https://www.semafor.com/article/10/22/2024/los-angeles-times-wont-endorse-for-president

[JaneAusten]

I don't think Adam Carlson said this. He was making a case as to why Arizona makes more sense for Harris to win over Nevada.

[DRW50]

I'm not sure what he said about Arizona, sorry, I was just reading through this thread.

[JaneAusten]

He had an entire thread today where he was talking about why Arizona makes more sense to him than Nevada.  He also said today that the NPA vote is Nevada is a mistake to disregard because a good amount of it are automatic registration voters who get registered with no party affiliation and the majority of those voters vote democratic.

That map above he did 3 weeks ago.

[DRW50]

Thanks. 

Arizona I think was suited to Biden in ways it won't be for Harris, but hopefully enough moderate Republicans can turn out. There is talk about how well she is or isn't doing with younger voters (Politico warning).

Dems see warning signs for Harris with youth vote in Arizona - POLITICO

 

I can see why they wanted to move away from "weird," but they did move too far in the other direction. He has been subjected to extremely ugly personal attacks and smears, many splashed all over Twitter, so I'm glad he got to speak up about the fascist. I am also glad he pointed out what the media won't - how much they now avoid spotlighting JD Vance.

[Vee]

I do think the NPA vote will be key. But I also think we have a very good shot at many of those states people are qvelling about.

[Wendy]

Just going to put this here. At this juncture, it is what it is:

 

[Vee]

Again, states like NV seem likely to have a reverse 2020 thing going on with early vote - that was a very unique situation, and rural/old people vote early. I'm not going to lose my mind over it.

[Vee]

Speaking of, the Nevada early/mail vote rollercoaster (which I do not recommend following) continues - another large GOP early dump (leading to Ralston swiftly declaring a new 'rural firewall' for the Republicans which is a bit much IMO), followed by this:

A good thread (Ralston-endorsed):

This peak/valley cycle is likely to keep happening for at least a few days, so we probably shouldn't obsess over it.