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Oscar Nomination tomorrow!


Chris

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Here are my predictions for the major categories:

Best Picture

Brokeback Mountain

Capote

Crash

Good Night, and Good Luck

Munich

Alt: Walk the Line

Best Director

George Clooney, Good Night, and Good Luck

Paul Haggis, Crash

Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain

Fernando Meirelles, The Constant Gardener

Steven Spielberg, Munich

Alt: Bennett Miller, Capote

Best Actor

Philip Seymour Hoffman, Capote

Terrence Howard, Hustle & Flow

Heath Ledger, Brokeback Mountain

Joaquin Phoenix, Walk the Line

David Strathairn, Good Night, and Good Luck

Alt: Ralph Fiennes, The Constant Gardener

Best Actress

Judi Dench, Mrs. Henderson Presents

Felicity Huffman, Transamerica

Keira Knightley, Pride & Prejudice

Reese Witherspoon, Walk The Line

Ziyi Zhang, Memoirs of a Geisha

Alt: Charlize Theron, North Country

Best Supporting Actor

George Clooney, Syriana

Matt Dillion, Crash

Paul Giamatti, Cinderella Man

Jake Gyllenhaal, Brokeback Mountain

Bob Hoskins, Mrs. Henderson Presents

Alt: William Hurt, A History of Violence

Supporting Actress

Amy Adams, Junebug

Maria Bello, A History of Violence

Catherine Keener, Capote

Rachel Weisz, The Constant Gardener

Michelle Williams, Brokeback Mountain

Alt: Frances McDormand, North Country

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I'm really hoping Crash gets a Best Picture and Director nomination.

I don't expect many surprise nominees, since this year has been pretty weak in terms of Oscar Buzz. Not enough small quality movies to pick from, and predictable nominations.

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I'm hoping for a few surprises, and I think we will get some. This year reminds me a lot of 1999, where everything was all over the place except for the winner (1999, American Beauty--this year, Brokeback Mountain).

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It'll probably be a rehash of the Golden Globes and SAG's, but I really think Joan Allen should be nominated in Best Actress for either The Upside of Anger or the other movie she made this year, which I forgot the name of but got a lot of praise. She's teriffic in everything she does, and unfortunately, since her movies came out before fall, the Academy tends to overlook most performances from the early half of the year.

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Crash was nominated for Best Picture, which will delight many people on other message boards that were afraid this movie wouldn't receive any love come Oscar time.

But William Hurt for Supporting, in a throwaway role? That's like when Judi won for Supporting Actress for Shakespeare in Love, for another throwaway role. I think Ryan Phillippe should have gotten that nod.

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