Members Juliajms Posted August 30, 2018 Members Share Posted August 30, 2018 Is it really possible to put a reliable number on a scenario like this? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members DRW50 Posted August 31, 2018 Members Share Posted August 31, 2018 Is 25% really seen as good? I think the chances are much higher - I'd say 50% at least. Weird lowballing there. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members Vee Posted August 31, 2018 Members Share Posted August 31, 2018 Matt Yglesias has been crashingly negative in recent months. I think 25%-40% is closer. The fact that the GOP and WH, internally, are expecting a bloodbath says a lot. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members Juliajms Posted August 31, 2018 Members Share Posted August 31, 2018 Perhaps he should have said "real" chance. Still, in this type of high stakes scenario I'm not sure "good" is the wrong word. If someone said I had a 25% chance of winning the lotto tomorrow I would think that's a damn good chance. If it's really true that there is a 25% chance the cover up works, I find that pretty damn terrifying. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members DRW50 Posted August 31, 2018 Members Share Posted August 31, 2018 Sorry, what I meant was that I think it's about a 50% chance the GOP will hold the House and the Senate. If not higher. I was surprised he only felt it was 25%. The Senate is looking good for them, which means more money to pour into the House. The media loves Republicans and will break their backs to help them win. Add in voter apathy and voter suppression, and it's all in place. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members marceline Posted August 31, 2018 Members Share Posted August 31, 2018 BernieBro press wants Dems to fail and they REALLY want the Mueller investigation to go away. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members Vee Posted August 31, 2018 Members Share Posted August 31, 2018 I never got the impression Yglesias was a BernieBro, but maybe I've missed something as I've paid less attn to him in the last 6-9 months. Meanwhile, more bad news for Trump: 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members marceline Posted August 31, 2018 Members Share Posted August 31, 2018 The Manafort/Cohen guilt finally seems to have popped the bubble. What's worse is that these numbers came before his shameful behavior around McCain's passing. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members Khan Posted August 31, 2018 Members Share Posted August 31, 2018 But numbers always have a way of trending upward again. (Unless we're talking about soap opera ratings, of course. They're the Weebles that DO fall down.) 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members Juliajms Posted September 1, 2018 Members Share Posted September 1, 2018 Neo Nazis are targeting Andrew Gillum. I really hope he wins. https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/racist-robocalls-tied-to-neo-nazi-group-target-andrew-gillum/ar-BBMIuvv 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members DRW50 Posted September 1, 2018 Members Share Posted September 1, 2018 What gets me is that many said the whole FBI issue some of his allies are involved in would make it impossible for him to win. Yet the main focus is blatant racist attacks. I guess they know what their base craves. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members Juliajms Posted September 1, 2018 Members Share Posted September 1, 2018 Yes. These terrible people feel entirely too comfortable launching these kinds of racists attacks. At this point it's impossible to be surprised. I'm sure he's getting death threats like that woman in Vermont. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members DramatistDreamer Posted September 1, 2018 Members Share Posted September 1, 2018 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members Vee Posted September 1, 2018 Members Share Posted September 1, 2018 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members Juliajms Posted September 1, 2018 Members Share Posted September 1, 2018 Please register in order to view this content Amen. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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