Vee

I can't beat this, folks.

After hilariously vamping for drama for days, hours, minutes and seconds (something he is known for), Jon Ralston predicts NV for Harris.

We already commented on that nonsense days ago.

Have you ever heard of the five stages of grief?

Seems to have worked well so far (and you disqualified yourself again going "Blue MAGA"). And I've never DMed you. Good luck with the next round of randos you dig up to confirm your priors, and good luck tomorrow. As to business, Caputo is scum but this is good corroboration re: a portion of the Atlantic story:

Let's just say I have a long memory. If you remain inclined to take bad faith doomerism and leftist mania seriously, I remain inclined to ignore it.

The occasional embed still goes through after many attempts.

If someone wants to be cowed by a bunch of admitted red polls, go nuts. I ain't got the time. Trafalgar in particular is the laughingstock of the entire industry. "Real Clear Defense," don't make me laugh. Meanwhile:

His immortal Vulture interview. Excerpted: Wild quotes aside, a legend in his own time. RIP.

The Times in extremis: Tani, who has always carried water for the Times and has been distinctly pissed with NY Times Pitchbot more than once, makes sure to do a lengthy editorial at the end about how unfair it is for them and how Pitchbot is not, repeat not funny.

But none of the dogs and cats stuff helped him. The squirrel (it's so idiotic I even have to type this) has not connected with mainstream media nor will it help him. The FCC whining has not helped him and almost no one has seen his response ad. That's the whole point. We can't automatically assume everything he does is a mainstream success story when both past performance and current events prove it is not. Meanwhile, this is amazing: This is possibly more insane. Silver explains how he's been skewing his forecast:

This is what we're talking about, though. You assume that because these things merely exist that they instantly connect and become hugely relevant, and drown out anything from Dems. That's just not true. Nobody cares about his 90 second ad tacked onto the end of (I believe) a sport event, though; most don't know it happened. They don't care about his FCC whining. They only cared or knew about the SNL appearance. Nobody outside of the MAGA online fever swamp knows or cares about this damn squirrel either, and that is not drowning Harris out because that story is not dominating mainstream news. Nor are many other items of their random weirdness. What is dominating right now is the Selzer poll, ongoing Puerto Rico fallout, new blue momentum and more bad choices by Trump that are driving more women to the polls. People see the Trump you say they don't and more than half are tired of him. At least that's what I'm seeing, and I keep a pretty broad eye. In any event: Here is a very good interview with Bill Clinton from CNN.

This "who won the day" nonsense Politico has been doing for a week or two has been the peak of their savvy Beltway gamemanship obsession and already mocked by even tame media critics, but this is its nadir:

From a very reputable analyst:

I'm not worried about it being like 2016. I believe we're taking it. I have suspected for some time that it will not be close, but now I think it might be even more than that. I think it may end up bigger for the candidate, and I think we have a real shot at a Congressional sweep whereas previously I thought keeping the Senate was slim at best. Or it may be a nailbiter or a shock horror twist for all of us. Who knows. I'm staying vigilant regardless. But I'm ready to take it to 'em. Meanwhile, Wasserman seems fed up:

Incredible:

Meanwhile:

Oh wow.

I for one am all for them spending their final hours of this election cycle on Peanut the squirrel (and Trump fantasizing about an imaginary meeting between Mike Lindell and Al Capone, apparently). I have felt for some time now this election would not be close. Now I am wondering if (though yet not expecting) it may be something more.

The big pollsters have all reacted to Selzer in different ways - often deferential to her and her numbers, admitting they may well be right, but still digging their heels in claiming their models have done nothing wrong, even as Cohn admitted they have regularly skewed the numbers to distrust any large blue/Dem result against Trump. But it def has the pollsters spooked. Case in point:

Toldja. No one in the real world knew or cared what some "George Lopez" rebuttal from a go-nowhere MAGA account on Twitter was.

I've told this story before, but my mom took me to a Maryland Crab Fest or something (maybe VA, maybe DC, I don't know) where Clinton was appearing that year. She tried to get us close enough for me to shake his hand (I was 9 or 10), he was within spitting distance and some lady cut us off! Mom has never forgotten or forgiven. I do vaguely recall her working the phones on Election Night re: Dukakis. But she's still out canvassing, doorknocking and phonebanking today.