I don’t think they are ready to give Frances her third Best Actress. It would have to be an undeniable, generational performance like DDL in “Lincoln.” I thought Carey, Viola, and Andra Day were all ahead of her.
I think Youn is now the Supporting Actress frontrunner. She has a good narrative; she’s a South Korean actress in this monumental “Stop Asian Hate” year, which is a year after they gave “Parasite” Best Picture yet nominated none of that film’s great cast. And it’s a good place to represent “Minari,” which is unlikely to win much else yet had enough support for a Best Picture nomination.
Which... oof, Glenn. She’d be the new Susan Lucci in terms of acting Oscar nominations without a win.