The Politics Thread

[janea4old]

delete duplicate Edited September 27, 2024 by janea4old

[Vee]

Good for Stevie. I'll listen to that later.

I take no pleasure in posting Nate Silver, but even he admits the fundamentals of the race as his new MAGA fanbase revolts:

 

[Vee]

Bad and bad for Trump, with Robinson in the mix:

 

 

[Vee]

Buttigieg is playing Vance in Walz's debate prep.

[jasonminer1974]

I see him getting a bigger job. Maybe Defence?

[DRW50]

Thank you @janea4old for all the info on Stevie's statement and her new song. 

I think Buttigieg is probably done in the Cabinet after this year - I don't think he would be confirmed by the Senate if it goes into Republican hands. I have a feeling he will become a cable news pundit and maybe run for Congress in a blue state someday. Either that or if Harris wins, he might join her staff in some capacity.

This level of blatantly dishonest pandering at a time his party is on a witch hunt against gay parents just pisses me the [!@#$%^&*] off.

https://www.nbcnews.com/nbc-out/out-politics-and-policy/trump-campaign-universal-ivf-access-gay-couples-rcna172821

[Vee]

I think it is likelier Harris wins and appoints Pete somewhere vs. vice versa. But who knows.

[Vee]

More on earlier polling:

 

[Vee]

Nice (except for Ohio, but hey):

 

Edited September 28, 2024 by Vee

[janea4old]

DNC will send funding to all state parties to support down-ballot races
The nearly $2.5 million investment is the first time the national party has sent funding to every one of its state counterparts.
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/09/27/dnc-state-party-legislative-races-00181312

[Vee]

 

[I Am A Swede]

How can someone running for office be this stupid, even if he is a Republican.... 

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Like so many in the comments to the video pointed out women over 50 can have daughters, granddaughters, friends, sisters etc that are under 50.

How some women in the audience can laugh at his remarks is mind-blowing, because I don't think they are laughing at his stupidity.

[DRW50]

That's good news. I hope they will keep coming as the smaller moments are what led the GOP to where they are now in at many state houses.

Gallup doesn't do as much electoral polling now but did put this out, which mostly states the obvious about how many factors are helping Republicans this year. Not posting this to say the election is over, as it is very close if Trump isn't being undercounted again, but as a reminder of why this is such a tight race even with Trump being so wretched and so decayed from even four years ago.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/651092/2024-election-environment-favorable-gop.aspx

More Politico articles, but I think they are worth reading (the latter is about Harris' struggles in PA but doesn't just go on about Josh Shapiro):

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/09/28/jd-vance-press-hostile-00181455

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/09/27/pennsylvania-harris-2024-election-00180099

[Vee]

Gallup is entitled to their take. I don't agree with it or trust them because I know what Gallup has always been, or Politico which always roots for Republicans. Like some pollsters, I remain unconvinced this election will be that close. Of course I also didn't think 2020 would be that close and it was, but I did know 2012 wouldn't be when the media insisted otherwise. So I'm bound to be either definitely right or totally wrong! I can't lose!

Speaking of Gallup's slanted nonsense, Atlas Intel out of Brazil has parachuted in with another set of outlier and unusual Republican-leaning state polls, which appears to be their brand this cycle as they move towards becoming Rasmussen 2.0. They also insisted Herschel Walker would win by 4 points, so I'm not putting huge stock in them (or posting them). This is the season when the right starts pushing junk polls and outliers to try and skew perception, just like the last several cycles.

Edited September 29, 2024 by Vee

[DRW50]

Elissa Slotkin, while fundraising for her Senate campaign, warns of Harris being "underwater" in Michigan. The race is so close I always worry about the number of states where Trump may be performing better than polling suggests.

https://www.axios.com/2024/09/29/michigan-senate-race-slotkin-harris