Vee

Oh my God: The adjusted late edition was not late enough, is still huffing copium:

They're all gonna try for this again and they're gonna find it's not gonna work, again. Trump won't let the party leave him and neither will their base. I've said for two years he'll tank everything before he lets DeSantis take the spotlight from him; that's already begun. He will promise to run, take money and endorsements, not really run at all and then shiv anyone who attempts to run in his place. They'll tear each other apart. I believe it was Jane who said the polls were not reaching women on abortion and how big of an issue it really was, and I thought she was right about that. I felt pollsters were antiquated in who they were reaching and/or in other cases driven by bro vibes and data, and that turned out to be correct. The pre-election polling didn't get those people, but the exit polling definitely did. 35% or higher in some states.

And now, the man you've been waiting for:

Loath as I am to post Weigel:

More Republican regrets:

Cortez Masto is down a bit due to the late-coming rural vote in NV, as was expected. The question now is can mail ballots from Clark County, etc. make up the difference and regain her lead. I think it could go either way, we'll see. Meanwhile: It's been a pretty good night, whatever the final result on a few races. We can recoup well from a midterm like this regardless. I'm taking a break.

We're still pretty ahead.

It's very unusual for any incumbent party to do this well in a midterm election, where they usually take big hits. The answer is abortion and the Dobbs decision. Plus IMO the general public being far more tired of Trump and the MAGA GOP than either their party or most media were willing to admit. That and a lot of crooked GOP-funded polls flooding the news space that allowed eager, bored Beltway media to be led around by the nose excited by the idea of a red wave and big drama in Washington again. I'm not completely surprised. I had a suspicion for awhile these would be our results or close to them, but I'll admit the overwhelming volume of said polls had me second-guessing myself a bit recently. But we're actually doing even better than I expected initially - esp with the House still somehow potentially in play. Republicans finally were 'the dog that caught the car' with abortion. Now they're paying the price, despite several months of their people and a lot of journalists claiming it wouldn't matter.

Looks good for CCM in NV.

It was very close in Wisconsin: So much for this horseshit: He means Loeffler. And I say bring it.

Both of these make the truth plain, which is why we as a party have to get bolder. This is a good night that too many in media insisted would be awful, but some of us had a feeling it wouldn't quite go down that way. This is pretty close to my initial projections for awhile now which I wavered a little on as we got closer, trying to be pragmatic - but excepting the possibility that a few things might go sideways overnight, it is actually shaping up to potentially be even better. Maybe now journalist bros will stop insisting abortion doesn't matter. It very clearly does, and not just in PA. If not for Dobbs it might have been a very different night. Vance notably did not thank Trump in his acceptance speech: McCarthy is already giving a premature victory speech. We'll see what happens, but this has been a pretty good night whatever goes down with the House.

Simon Rosenberg needs all the flowers.

A lot of pundits who sneered at Simon Rosenberg's weeks-long optimistic Dem predictions for tonight (including Nate Cohn taking a veiled shot at him by mentioning "Dem early vote hopium") are now starting to issue mea culpas:

This dude was right: And now: A GOP supermajority is prevented in WI:

It's done on PA. The story of the night is we overperformed and too many media took GOP flood polls at face value. We are likely keeping the Senate, we may or may not have the majority in the House but will likely keep a razor-thin margin either way (which McCarthy cannot control). Which is what I expected a while ago. No red wave.

The shock and anguish from Politico's Bade is the sweetest of all.

This was true: It's that time again, @DRW50: Done: