wingwalker

Senate races are sometimes hard to guess. I think Dems will win enough to keep control of Senate though. The two close ones two I hope win the most are Sherrod Brown of Ohio and Jon Tester of Montana. I've met both and really great senators. I'd be sad if either lost and it looks like Tester could loose.

I saw this on youtube the other day and thought it was funny:

As someone who's lived in Michigan my entire life, it irritates the [!@#$%^&*] out of me every time Mitt says he's a "son of Detroit" and that his dad ran a car company. Just cause you were born in Detroit Mitt, doesn't make you a son of Detroit. You've spent nearly you're entire adult life everywhere BUT Michigan. Many Michiganders fondly remember your father Mitt, but you haven't done [!@#$%^&*] for Michigan, so stop saying you're one of us, you're not.

I think Romney crossed a line in regards to his comments about Obama's response to the Benghazi attack. Even if people don't like a president, they don't like when you disrespect them on foreign policy issues. There's a way to disagree with a president on foreign policy without being disrespectful. I don't think I have ever saw Obama as pissed as I did in that moment and his responses to Romney was perfect.

While last season I was on Team Jack, I'm loving this new guy Aidan so far. Him and Emily make for a hot duo. Declan is still a waste of space. How does he go from holding a bracelet for his buddy to breaking and entering? While Declan is stupid enough to leave his ID at the scene of the crime, I suspect his buddy set him up. While I'm still enjoying this season so far, I'm not sure I like Emily (and the show) abandoning her original revenge plan for taking down the folks who framed her father for being obsessed with finding her mother. I hope she gets back to clearing her father's name. Hopefully the two stories will converge and this plot about her mother helps advance the original plan.

Biden right now, though he can tone it down on all the grinning.

Are they seriously going to keep giving Declan storylines? I find that character so annoying and not needed. And I still can't stand FauxManda.

This whole debate awful. I'm not sure either candidate came out a head, both I don't think performed well. I think the biggest headline will be that Mitt wants to kill Big Bird. LOL Twitter exploded when Mitt mentioned Big Bird.

Jim Lehrer is a horrible moderator. Seriously, get in control of this debate Jim!

Damn great way to start the season. I love the Nolan/Jack bromance. I still wish preggers fake Amanda would go away. Team Jack!

So I don't know much about Canada's politics, but this caught my eye. Apparently their Liberal party will be having a leadership election and Justin Trudeau is going to run, if successful he could end up Prime Minister someday. I don't know much about the issues, but I looked him up. If that happened, Canada would have the hottest Prime Minister in the western world.

So do I. I love Nate Silver. He was the most accurate in 2008 and given he's a statistician, I think his model is the best and most unbiased.

I think they must be. I know my mom LOVES whenever Sophia Grace and Rosie are on Ellen.

Florian's leaving? That's sad, I really liked him. Even sadder that with Florian leaving and Annette dead, Deniz will be about the only one left with a connection to Roman. I miss my DeRo, too bad Deniz will probably never get another male love interest again.

Surprised the Cheers intro/theme hasn't been posted yet: Iv'e always like the Who's the Boss theme as well:

One of my favorite cartoon theme songs: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SM9fRjRPKEo

While I wasn't surprised it was upheld (although I did get worried at times), as was surprised how it was upheld. Upholding it under the congress's right to tax instead of commerce clause was a surprise and ironic given when Congress passed it they stressed it being a "penalty" and not a "tax". Also Roberts being the one to join the liberals in a 5-4 decision, this is the first time that's happened. He's joined them on 6-3 decisions, but that's only when Kennedy join the liberals as well, which Kennedy didn't this time. I wonder if Roberts expected Kennedy to join the liberals, cause I also heard Roberts is aware and concerned over how political these 5-4 decisions have become and wants the court to get back to having more 6-3, 7-2, etc rulings. Looks like Medicaid expansion was upheld, but court said you can't take away all funds if a state doesn't opt in, you can only take away NEW funds. I'm curious as to how that effects the law, cause that gives states an opening to opt out of that part of the law.

Finally got to see the season finally. Wow was the wait worth it. Was amazing. Can't wait for next season.

National polls don't really matter, it's how they are doing in the individual states. Right now, Obama is 7 points ahead in Ohio, 8 ahead in Virginia, ahead 5 in Florida. And actually believe it or not, since Obama is ahead in Iowa, Nevada, CO, NM, it's possible for Obama to loose Ohio, Virginia, Florida, and North Carolina and STILL have 272 electoral votes, 2 more than needed to win. Obama has several paths to victory, Romney really only has 1.

While I don't think this will do much nationally. Those who like Obama will like him more and those who hate him will hate him more, I think it could impact a few swing states like North Carolina and Virginia, but Obama could lose both and still win. Yeah, the gay marriage wasn't why Kerry lost, it was his awful campaign.

Yeah pretty big news. I'm not surprised it's been a long time coming, I figured he would come out to support gay marriage, but I didn't think he would be until after the election, more risky to announce this now.

As for Obama's re-election chances & possible 2nd term, I think Obama will probably get re-elected, but I don't think it's "inevitable" at all. For one, it's hard to unseat a President. Only 3 (4 if you count Ford) President's have failed to get re-elected to a second term in the past 100 years. You don't have to be popular to be re-elected, you just have to popular in the states that count. Obama got elected President with 365 electoral votes and 52.9%. Obama can probably only win 45% of the popular vote and still get enough electoral votes to win. The greatest asset a sitting president has is undecided voters. If come October, there is still 5-6% of the population undecided, history has shown undecided always break for the incumbent Present because if the challenger hasn't closed the deal by then, they won't in the last 30 days and undecided tend to keep the "evil they know over the evil they don't know". Other thing Obama has in his favor is what's motivating the Republicans. The motivation driving the GOP is they want to unseat Obama, there isn't much motivation to elect Romney (who will be the nominee). That rarely works in Presidential elections. You have to be motivated to vote FOR someone. People weren't just voting against Bush 1, people liked Clinton and voted for him. People didn't just vote against Carter, they liked Reagan and vote FOR Reagan. At this stage there is no force of people who genuinely like and plan to vote for Romney, all they have is that they hate Obama and that's not enough. If Obama gets a second term, I wouldn't expect much either, rarely does anything major get done in the second term of a President. I think the Dems can gain control of the House back They only need 23 seats to regain control and even with GOP in charge of most of the redistricting, that won't be too hard to hard in a Presidential election year, especially if Obama wins. I think Dems will probably loose Senate though.

President Grover Cleveland was obese as well, but I bet even less people remember him. Yeah, I think there's a reason why we haven't elected an obese President since Taft... I wasn't alive back then, but actually didn't Nixon's proposal go even farther? I remember reading something about Ted Kennedy and Nixon almost struck a deal on heathcare. Talk about strange bed fellows. LOL

I agree. When it comes to presidential elections, we are a blue state, not a "swing state". And according to this article, Romney has one field office in Michigan and relying on tv/radio ads. http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/02/13/down-in-michigan-polls-romney-needs-to-find-his-base/. A Republican can't win in Michigan with strategy. A Democrat, probably, but not a Republican. Most of the population in Michigan is in the SE (Detroit, Flint, Lansing, Ann Arbor areas), which is also where most the Democrats & unions support is, so a Democrat can plaster the radio * tv air waves in the SE and hit most of their base, the Republican base isn't in the SE, it's most of the rest of the state, which is rural. To win you have to drive up the vote in those rural areas and to do that, you have to go to as many of small towns that have populations of 2-5k and knock on as many doors as possible. And his new OPT ED in the Detroit News won't help either: http://www.detroitnews.com/article/20120214/OPINION01/202140336/Romney-op-ed-Taxpayers-should-get-GM-shares-proceeds?odyssey=tab|topnews|text|FRONTPAGE He can drink Vernors and Faygo pop till his teeth rot and talk about his dad being President of American Motors all he wants, Mr. Romney, you may have been born here, but you are no son of Detroit.

As someone who lives in Michigan, a Republican isn't winning this state come Nov. Obama is, not just because of the auto industry, but Romney is no "favorite son". His dad was governor here, not him. Romney spent nearly entire adult life everywhere but Michigan. We also have a very unpopular Republican governor that will be a burden. As for the primary, it will be interesting because Michigan has an open primary, meaning you don't have to be a Republican to vote in the Republican primary. I hear many Democrats are voting for Santorum just to screw over Romney. Which is what they did in 2000. Since Gore was poised for the nom, the Dems voted McCain to screw over Bush.