Everything posted by wingwalker
-
Glee: Discusion Thread
I do, I don't think the premise of this show can last past 3-4 seasons. The Glee fad is largely over and ratings show it. Next year, airing after X-Factor/Idol results should help slow bleeding, but won't revive the show.
-
The Politics Thread
National polls don't really matter, it's how they are doing in the individual states. Right now, Obama is 7 points ahead in Ohio, 8 ahead in Virginia, ahead 5 in Florida. And actually believe it or not, since Obama is ahead in Iowa, Nevada, CO, NM, it's possible for Obama to loose Ohio, Virginia, Florida, and North Carolina and STILL have 272 electoral votes, 2 more than needed to win. Obama has several paths to victory, Romney really only has 1.
-
The Politics Thread
While I don't think this will do much nationally. Those who like Obama will like him more and those who hate him will hate him more, I think it could impact a few swing states like North Carolina and Virginia, but Obama could lose both and still win. Yeah, the gay marriage wasn't why Kerry lost, it was his awful campaign.
-
The Politics Thread
Yeah pretty big news. I'm not surprised it's been a long time coming, I figured he would come out to support gay marriage, but I didn't think he would be until after the election, more risky to announce this now.
-
The Politics Thread
As for Obama's re-election chances & possible 2nd term, I think Obama will probably get re-elected, but I don't think it's "inevitable" at all. For one, it's hard to unseat a President. Only 3 (4 if you count Ford) President's have failed to get re-elected to a second term in the past 100 years. You don't have to be popular to be re-elected, you just have to popular in the states that count. Obama got elected President with 365 electoral votes and 52.9%. Obama can probably only win 45% of the popular vote and still get enough electoral votes to win. The greatest asset a sitting president has is undecided voters. If come October, there is still 5-6% of the population undecided, history has shown undecided always break for the incumbent Present because if the challenger hasn't closed the deal by then, they won't in the last 30 days and undecided tend to keep the "evil they know over the evil they don't know". Other thing Obama has in his favor is what's motivating the Republicans. The motivation driving the GOP is they want to unseat Obama, there isn't much motivation to elect Romney (who will be the nominee). That rarely works in Presidential elections. You have to be motivated to vote FOR someone. People weren't just voting against Bush 1, people liked Clinton and voted for him. People didn't just vote against Carter, they liked Reagan and vote FOR Reagan. At this stage there is no force of people who genuinely like and plan to vote for Romney, all they have is that they hate Obama and that's not enough. If Obama gets a second term, I wouldn't expect much either, rarely does anything major get done in the second term of a President. I think the Dems can gain control of the House back They only need 23 seats to regain control and even with GOP in charge of most of the redistricting, that won't be too hard to hard in a Presidential election year, especially if Obama wins. I think Dems will probably loose Senate though.
-
The Politics Thread
President Grover Cleveland was obese as well, but I bet even less people remember him. Yeah, I think there's a reason why we haven't elected an obese President since Taft... I wasn't alive back then, but actually didn't Nixon's proposal go even farther? I remember reading something about Ted Kennedy and Nixon almost struck a deal on heathcare. Talk about strange bed fellows. LOL
-
The Politics Thread
I agree. When it comes to presidential elections, we are a blue state, not a "swing state". And according to this article, Romney has one field office in Michigan and relying on tv/radio ads. http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/02/13/down-in-michigan-polls-romney-needs-to-find-his-base/. A Republican can't win in Michigan with strategy. A Democrat, probably, but not a Republican. Most of the population in Michigan is in the SE (Detroit, Flint, Lansing, Ann Arbor areas), which is also where most the Democrats & unions support is, so a Democrat can plaster the radio * tv air waves in the SE and hit most of their base, the Republican base isn't in the SE, it's most of the rest of the state, which is rural. To win you have to drive up the vote in those rural areas and to do that, you have to go to as many of small towns that have populations of 2-5k and knock on as many doors as possible. And his new OPT ED in the Detroit News won't help either: http://www.detroitnews.com/article/20120214/OPINION01/202140336/Romney-op-ed-Taxpayers-should-get-GM-shares-proceeds?odyssey=tab|topnews|text|FRONTPAGE He can drink Vernors and Faygo pop till his teeth rot and talk about his dad being President of American Motors all he wants, Mr. Romney, you may have been born here, but you are no son of Detroit.
-
The Politics Thread
As someone who lives in Michigan, a Republican isn't winning this state come Nov. Obama is, not just because of the auto industry, but Romney is no "favorite son". His dad was governor here, not him. Romney spent nearly entire adult life everywhere but Michigan. We also have a very unpopular Republican governor that will be a burden. As for the primary, it will be interesting because Michigan has an open primary, meaning you don't have to be a Republican to vote in the Republican primary. I hear many Democrats are voting for Santorum just to screw over Romney. Which is what they did in 2000. Since Gore was poised for the nom, the Dems voted McCain to screw over Bush.
-
Revenge: Discussion Thread
Another great episode. Can't wait till the next episode.
-
Revenge: Discussion Thread
OMG another great episode. Nolan and Tyler? What a twist. The real Emily Thorn waking off Frank (wonder if he is really dead?) wow. While I like Daniel, I have a feeling it's going to be a long snog for us Emily/Jack fans. Don't know how I'm going to survive waiting for 2 weeks.
-
Revenge: Discussion Thread
Another great episode. Looks like Frank's going to figure out Emily before anyone else. I'm on team Jack, but I'm also finding myself wanting to ship Emily/Nolan as well. Next episode looks good.
-
Revenge: Discussion Thread
Yes! I knew it was a matter of time until ABC gave it a full season pick up.
-
Revenge: Discussion Thread
Another great episode. I know the triangle is Daniel/Emily/Jack which I'm liking, but I think Emily & Nolan could make an interesting couple. I doubt the show is going that direction, but they could almost be a Bonnie & Clyde type couple. LOL Tyler, he's definitely obsessed with Daniel & trying to ruin his life for some reason. I think he might be gay & has a crush on Daniel that wasn't reciprocated.
-
Revenge: Discussion Thread
God I love this show so much. I'm addicted. I see it fell ratings slightly again last night. I really hope it can make it.
-
Revenge: Discussion Thread
I wasn't going to check it out cause I hated the lead actress when she was on Brothers & Sisters, but I'm glad I change my mind. I loved it a lot.
-
German soaps: GZSZ, UU & AWZ
I have to say, This Roman is dying story on AWZ, as depressing as it is, it's sure bringing about a lot of really great scenes and acting. I'm enjoying it more than I thought I would. I wonder what they'll do with Deniz afterwards?
-
Glee: Discusion Thread
Casting news: http://www.tvline.com/2011/07/glee-scoop-chord-overstreet-leaving/
-
The Politics Thread
I think that the current crop of candidates that are in or soon be in, will be the field. I don't see these "dream candidates" like Cristie or Jeb Bush that some are trying to get to run, changing their minds and jumping in. Of the current field, likely nominee is Romney, Pawlenty or Huntsman, with my bet on Romney. Personally, though if I were to vote for a Republican, I'd go with Huntsman. He seems the most intelligent, moderate and "real" of the bunch, but I don't see him getting the nom this round. I honestly think he'd be better off in 2016.
-
One Life to Live Tribute Thread
I was going to post this myself. Yeah, not a perfect story, but yeah, I miss them a lot too, even though they were not on for long, they were one of my favorite daytime couples & Kyle one of my favorite characters. Quite a milestone in tv history, one of the few actual gay sex scenes on network television, daytime or primetime.
-
German soaps: GZSZ, UU & AWZ
And both sound awful.
-
The Politics Thread
Baring something surprising, Romney is getting the nomination. The person who came in second during the previous GOP Primaries almost always gets the nomination next time around. EX: Romney came in second in 2008 to McCain, Mccain came in second to Bush in 2000 primaries, W Bush while didn't run in 1996 primaries many GOP elites wanted him too, Dole came second in 1988 primaries, Bush senior came in second in 1980 primaries, Reagan came in second in 1976 and 1968 primaries. So history suggests Romney, who I find about as exciting as Bob Ross... I'd be shocked if Barbour or Huckabee got the nom. Mississippi, which Barbour is Governor of is ranked dead last in nearly everything, education, income, employment, etc...doesn't exactly inspire confidence. Plus he has controversial remarks in regards to race & civil rights. As for Huckabee, he as governor granted clemency to guy who then later in 2009 shot and killed 4 police officers...
-
German soaps: GZSZ, UU & AWZ
I wonder if a lot of it has to do with the writer Tom Chroust? He's written for both VL and AWZ and I believe created both the gay couples Christian & Olli and Deniz & Roman. It seems every time he leaves one soap, one couple ceases to get story or airtime, and the couple on the show he joins, starts to get story again. Chrolli hasn't gotten a lot of story since Tom left after the Boxing storyline, when he arrived at AWZ, they put Roman & Deniz back together and gave them lots of stories, now he left AWZ for VL a couple months ago, Deniz & Roman are no longer getting story, so I suspect Christian & Ollie could get some attention soon.
-
German soaps: GZSZ, UU & AWZ
I love Deniz and Roman too. I'm excited about their upcoming story. Really, I love AWZ on a whole, from what I see. I wish they issued subtitled full episodes, cause I'd like watch the whole show. Show's really improved since Tom Chroust took over as HW last year.