Everything posted by Darcy
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The Politics Thread
- The Politics Thread
That is doubtful. They are only at 46 but at least the incumbent Democrat Senator Peters finally went ahead of the Republican candidate when Biden got Michigan (but it an extremely narrow lead). Two senate races may go to runoffs. Not sure who else the Dems can get. If Biden wins Arizona and Nevada he will have exactly 270 electoral votes and will not need to worry about the rest.- The Politics Thread
Or Arizona. But actually in some cases I think he may need two or three: For example, I think he would need Michigan, Arizona and Nevada if he doesn’t get PA, NC or GA. I think there are many different combos in which he would need 2 or 3 more.- The Politics Thread
I think he would need the Senate for SCOTUS changes- The Politics Thread
- The Politics Thread
I am still concerned about Trump (with perhaps Supreme Court) stealing it. There are probably going to be recounts in most of these states. This is probably going to take awhile. I know it will be difficult without the Senate but I just really need to have a new cabinet and new aides (goodbye Ivanka, Jared, Stephen Miller, Bill Barr, Betsy DeVos, DeJoy, etc. etc.) and all the other crooked accomplices gone.- The Politics Thread
I am not a conspiracy theorist but I am seeing people thinking it’s the Russians or someone interfering. It is very hard to believe that so many polls were so far off ...again - even very far off from the margin of error. For example for Wisconsin in the past week, two polls rated A+ showed Biden ahead by +17 (ABC News/Washington Post) and +11 (Siena/NYTimes). Seems fishy.- The Politics Thread
Biden is now plus 20k in Wisconsin - I think he was down more than 100k before this last update. They are expecting another 10k for Biden in the next update. It should not be this close.- The Politics Thread
PA, MI and WI still have many millions of mail in votes to process. The Republican legislatures in those states purposefully set it up that way so it would look like Trump would have a tremendous lead when they were counting mainly just the Election Day ballots. Most states did it the opposite way which is why Biden appeared to be way ahead in numerous red states and then Trump overtook him once the same day election ballots were cast after the mail in ballots.- The Politics Thread
The Democrats have already won the House - NBC called it for them hours ago. The Democrats were 35 seats ahead before the election and so far have lost a net total of 3 - so still 32 seats ahead.- The Politics Thread
Very large amounts (millions in each state) of mostly Democratic votes have not been counted yet in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. He only needs to win two of the three.- The Politics Thread
The reason why Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania couldn’t start counting their mail in ballots until today is because, despite their Democratic Governors, they all have Republican legislatures who would not allow it (of course). So because of that we have to wait.- The Politics Thread
It is a good thing that Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania have Democrat Governors and PA may not even be necessary in case the Supreme Court decides to mess with it. I think the only state that switched so far is Arizona for Biden which is a good win for the Dems. One Senate race will not be decided until January runoff but it will most likely go to the Republican. It will be horrible to not get the Senate but nothing is more important than the Presidency.- The Politics Thread
This is so disheartening. After everything that went down the last four years, Trump is still going to get a lot more votes than he did in 2016. It’s unbelievable, incomprehensible, depressing, terrifying, maddening and very very sad. I think Biden can win without Pennsylvania as long as he wins Michigan, Wisconsin and Arizona (although he still has a good chance in PA too). It sucks we have to wait until at least tomorrow or longer.- The Politics Thread
Unfortunately if you google Miami Dade post office and look at news you will see a post office there has massive amounts of bins with mail including ballots that have been just sitting there for over a week. Outrageous and infuriating. In better news, as of Friday in Texas the youth vote has increased enormously. 753,600 Texans under 30 have cast a ballot. In the same time period in 2016, only 106,000 in the same age bracket had voted - a 610% increase. More Texans have voted already than voted in all of 2016.- The Politics Thread
Recently mail delivery has become atrocious again especially in battleground states. What a coincidence. On time mail percentages in key battlegrounds: Philadelphia- -43% Detroit-53% Northern Ohio-56% South Florida-63% DeJoy better be prosecuted. He intentionally had over 700 fast and very expensive sorting machines destroyed, slowing down mail for people needing their medications or trying to pay their bills on time and of course now sending in mail-in ballots. Truly sinister machinations.- The Politics Thread
Why does anyone think Trump will suddenly surge this last week? Anything could happen but do these people think something specific is going to occur? BTW, if anyone is interested in early voting numbers by state @WinWithJMC on Twitter does a good job of gathering and compiling info throughout the day and usually every morning releases a report (under Media section). @ElectProject also does a good job compiling early voting info. Over 70.4 million have early voted so far and 90-100 million are projected to early vote before Election Day. 136 million voted in 2016 and 150 million are projected to vote this year (so 2/3 are expected to vote early). Texas has already reached 87% of their 2016 vote.- GH: AMC FAVE Joins Cast
Unless the article is wrong, Finn is Jackie’s ex - so he may turn out to be Chase’s Dad too.- GH: AMC FAVE Joins Cast
Based on the previews for tomorrow, it looks like she will be both (Jackie and Chase’s mom).- GH: AMC FAVE Joins Cast
Nothing official yet but we did have that scene this past week with Peter and Lulu discussing finding a reporter who could do the story on gangster guy who bought the hospital and then later she said she thought of the reporter to do it.- The Politics Thread
Apparently both pictures showed him signing blank pieces of paper. His “work” mainly consists of watching Fox News and golfing.- The Politics Thread
I only could stomach a bit of it but he seems fine. Apparently he didn’t mention anything about wearing a mask, social distancing and washing your hands (of course).- The Politics Thread
Superpacs, Lincoln Project, MeidasTouch etc. can still run negative ads I would think. Presumably, they would just eliminate the negative ads that end with “I’m Joe Biden and I approved this message.”- The Politics Thread
It has been widely reported that Trump went to a big donor private event yesterday in NJ, despite knowing Hope Hicks was positive and he had been exposed. Of course, the President and the big donors were not wearing masks and were not socially distanced. I wonder if any of those big donors want their money back ... These stories keep making Trump and his cronies look worse and worse.- The Politics Thread
Well once he is better he will consider COVID officially over. - The Politics Thread
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