Darcy

Arizona is now at 84% with Biden leading by 93K.

5 minutes ago, Daphne said:

Can someone please clarify the status of Arizona?  CNN and NBC have not called it (for Biden) but the Associated Press has.  Is Arizona "confirmed" for Biden? 

6 minutes ago, Vee said:

And we do have things to be hopeful for. We're winning. We might even have still have a shot at the Senate.

That is doubtful. They are only at 46 but at least the incumbent Democrat Senator Peters finally went ahead of the Republican candidate when Biden got Michigan (but it an extremely narrow lead).  Two senate races may go to runoffs.  Not sure who else the Dems can get.

If Biden wins Arizona and Nevada he will have exactly 270 electoral votes and will not need to worry about the rest.

1 hour ago, Toups said:

Yes! Wisconsin! So Biden just needs two out of PA, Nevada, Michigan, Georgia and NC, right?  

Or Arizona. But actually in some cases I think he may need two or three:

For example, I think he would need Michigan, Arizona and Nevada if he doesn’t get PA, NC or GA.  I think there are many different combos in which he would need 2 or 3 more.  

I think he would need the Senate for SCOTUS changes

7 minutes ago, dragonflies said:

So if Biden wins, can he get rid of the new SCOTUS?

Also looks like he is going to gets Pennsylvania too!!

I am still concerned about Trump (with perhaps Supreme Court) stealing it.  There are probably going to be recounts in most of these states.  This is probably going to take awhile.  I know it will be difficult without the Senate but I just really need to have a new cabinet and new aides (goodbye Ivanka, Jared, Stephen Miller, Bill Barr, Betsy DeVos, DeJoy, etc. etc.) and all the other crooked accomplices gone.  

I am not a conspiracy theorist but I am seeing people thinking it’s the Russians or someone interfering.  It is very hard to believe that so many polls were so far off ...again - even very far off from the margin of error.

For example for Wisconsin in the past week, two polls rated A+  showed Biden ahead by +17 (ABC News/Washington Post) and +11 (Siena/NYTimes). Seems fishy.

Biden is now plus 20k in Wisconsin - I think he was down more than 100k before this last update.  They are expecting another 10k for Biden in the next update.  It should not be this close.  

8 minutes ago, Wendy said:

PA, WI, and MI all seem to be choosing Trump.

PA, MI and WI still have many millions of mail in votes to process.  The Republican legislatures in those states purposefully set it up that way so it would look like Trump would have a tremendous lead when they were counting mainly just the Election Day ballots.

Most states did it the opposite way which is why Biden appeared to be way ahead in numerous red states and then Trump overtook him once the same day election ballots were cast after the mail in ballots.

The Democrats have already won the House - NBC called it for them hours ago.  The Democrats were 35 seats ahead before the election and so far have lost a net total of 3 - so still 32 seats ahead.

10 minutes ago, Wendy said:

 

Right now, he's up 9 in MI, with 59% counted. 

Very large amounts (millions in each state) of mostly Democratic votes have not been counted yet in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.  He only needs to win two of the three.

The reason why Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania couldn’t start counting their mail in ballots until today is because, despite their Democratic Governors, they all have Republican legislatures who would not allow it (of course).  So because of that we have to wait.

8 minutes ago, Juliajms said:

Right. Waiting is very difficult. I remain quite hopeful that Biden will win though.

It is a good thing that Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania have Democrat Governors and PA may not even be necessary in case the Supreme Court decides to mess with it. 
 

I think the only state that switched so far is Arizona for Biden which is a good win for the Dems.  One Senate race will not be decided until January runoff but it will most likely go to the Republican.  It will be horrible to not get the Senate but nothing is more important than the Presidency.

1 hour ago, Juliajms said:

Even if Biden wins, I will always be stunned that so many Americans are ok with the lies Trump tells and the hate he sows. He slaps us in the face with every lie he tells and laughs about it and still millions vote for him.

This is so disheartening.  After everything that went down the last four years, Trump is still going to get a lot more votes than he did in 2016.  It’s unbelievable, incomprehensible, depressing, terrifying, maddening and very very sad.  
 

I think Biden can win without Pennsylvania as long as he wins Michigan, Wisconsin and Arizona (although he still has a good chance in PA too).  It sucks we have to wait until at least tomorrow or longer.

3 hours ago, DramatistDreamer said:

Unfortunately if you google Miami Dade post office and look at news you will see a post office there has massive amounts of bins with mail including ballots that have been just sitting there for over a week.  Outrageous and infuriating.

In better news, as of Friday in Texas the youth vote has increased enormously.  753,600 Texans under 30 have cast a ballot.  In the same time period in 2016,  only 106,000 in the same age bracket had voted - a 610% increase.

More Texans have voted already than voted in all of 2016.

Recently mail delivery has become atrocious again especially in battleground states. What a coincidence.

On time mail percentages in key battlegrounds:

Philadelphia- -43%

Detroit-53%

Northern Ohio-56%

South Florida-63%
 

DeJoy better be prosecuted.  He intentionally had over 700 fast and very expensive sorting machines destroyed, slowing down mail for people needing their medications or trying to pay their bills on time and of course now sending in mail-in ballots. Truly sinister machinations.

On 10/25/2020 at 5:35 PM, sivad40 said:

Are you confident that Biden will win because there's been some nervous and pessimistic Democratic supporters that believe that Trump will win because of a last week surge.

Why does anyone think Trump will suddenly surge this last week?  Anything could happen but do these people think something specific is going to occur?
 

BTW, if anyone is interested in early voting numbers by state @WinWithJMC on Twitter does a good job of gathering and compiling info throughout the day and usually every morning releases a report (under Media section).  @ElectProject also does a good job compiling early voting info.

Over 70.4 million have early voted so far and 90-100 million are projected to early vote before Election Day. 136 million voted in 2016 and 150 million are projected to vote this year (so 2/3 are expected to vote early).  Texas has already reached 87% of their 2016 vote.

5 hours ago, Forever8 said:

https://www.tvinsider.com/952159/general-hospital-kim-delaney-jackie-templeton-chase-josh-swickard/

Unless the article is wrong, Finn is Jackie’s ex - so he may turn out to be Chase’s Dad too.

5 hours ago, KMan101 said:

Yeah, she's Jackie. LOL. (She could also still be the 'stepmom' Finn refers to; Jackie could have easily been involved with Finn's dad though I'd prefer Finn stay away)

Based on the previews for tomorrow, it looks like she will be both (Jackie and Chase’s mom).

On 9/29/2020 at 9:56 PM, Darn said:

 

We don't even have official confirmation that she's Demi Moore + 40 years later.

Nothing official yet but we did have that scene this past week with Peter and Lulu discussing finding a reporter who could do the story on gangster guy who bought the hospital and then later she said she thought of the reporter to do it.

Apparently both pictures showed him signing blank pieces of paper.  His “work” mainly consists of watching Fox News and golfing.

I only could stomach a bit of it but he seems fine.  Apparently he didn’t mention anything about wearing a mask, social distancing and washing your hands (of course).

1 hour ago, DRW50 said:

 

They are also running disgusting new ads tonight, which I won't post, but you can see them easily enough on Twitter. 

 

I respect Biden for taking the high road, but I hope they will only pause for a day or two at most. 

Superpacs, Lincoln Project, MeidasTouch etc. can still run negative ads I would think.  Presumably, they would just eliminate the negative ads that end with “I’m Joe Biden and I approved this message.” 

It has been widely reported that Trump went to a big donor private event yesterday in NJ, despite knowing Hope Hicks was positive and he had been exposed.  Of course, the President and the big donors were not wearing masks and were not socially distanced.  I wonder if any of those big donors want their money back ... These stories keep making Trump and his cronies look worse and worse.